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Links 1 through 10 of 33 by Amy Gahran tagged future

Yes, newspaper publishers made this top-10 list. Oddly, so did wireless carriers -- and that's REALLY odd!

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"Web-first meant content would be published online before in the print edition, and that the organization should start thinking first about the web, though most didn’t, regardless of what they were saying. When I say we must shift to a mobile-first strategy, I’m not talking about where content appears when, but about the priorities of the organization: what you place first in your thinking and acting.}

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"The 2010 Elon University-Pew Internet survey of technology experts and analysts - the Future of the Internet IV - asked participants to share their thoughts on 10 topics. The data is being released in a series of six reports delivered in various venues over the first seven months of 2010. See links to the longest, most-detailed content from the studies by scrolling down to the bottom half of this page and using the direct links to deep sets of data. Top-of-page information offers links only to the brief PDF copies of report briefings."

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"The past was not as golden, nor is the present as tawdry, as the pessimists suggest, but the only thing really worth arguing about is the future.

"...Abundance breaks more things than scarcity. We are now witnessing the rapid stress of older institutions accompanied by the slow and fitful development of cultural alternatives. Just as required education was a response to print, using the Internet well will require new cultural institutions as well, not just new technologies.

"It is tempting to want PatientsLikeMe without the dumb videos, just as we might want scientific journals without the erotic novels, but that's not how media works. Increased freedom to create means increased freedom to create throwaway material, as well as freedom to indulge in the experimentation that eventually makes the good new stuff possible."

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Howard Rheingold: "I interviewed Adora Svitak after being introduced by her mother and watching her TED presentation. I'm writing a book about 21st century literacies and thought that a 12 year old would give a good perspective. Which she does."

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"PON technology is expected to offer 10Gbps downloads in the next year or two, though this will amount to a guaranteed per-user capacity of "only" 160-320Mbps. Verizon is already trialing the XG-PON technology in the field, announcing in December 2009 that it had done its first successful 10Gbps test outside the lab. Standards for XG-PON should be finalized this year, but it won't be in wide use for some time. (Verizon called it a "technology validation" rather than a "product trial.")

"Somewhere around 2027, PON should offer 100Gbps of download capacity; split between end users, this should guarantee 10Gbps downstream connections."

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"In organizing your community, don't fall into the trap that equates physical proximity with community. Just because people live near one another, that fact doesn't bond those people into a community. Communities form around common needs and purposes, as will yours. So start by identifying what you can offer a community and which community might need what you can offer.

"This might lead you away from covering a geographic area and toward covering some topical niche. So be it. Go where your knowledge, talent and passion directs you. Then starting thinking specifically about your audience community. I mean, name names. Who do you know that would want to read what you have to say? Recruit them. Don't freak out over starting with only a handful of readers. That's all you're likely to reach initially anyway. You can't count on anyone just "showing up." Go ahead and extend explicit invitations. Better yet, invite these potential readers to write for your new publication."

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"Google's Fast Flip is, more accurately, an attempt to create a new UI for news — a better way to consume publishers’ content than publishers provide on their own sites.

"Most publishers are focused on how to charge for news. But there’s very little talk about how to innovate the packaging of news, much less a new UI for news. There’s very little talk about how people consume news on the web, about the value of aggregating articles from multiple sources, about solving consumers’ problems rather than publishers’ problems.

"That’s why Google is taking the lead on figuring out how to create the new news package, and why they will continue to control the lucrative front end of distribution, while publishers are left with far less profitable back end of content creation."

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I think there are several different areas of emergence that will need to be studied, ir they can. Firstly, there is the area of information flow, connected to PC and server activity too. It might be possible for example to use the net to generate information waves that could crash telecom networks by setting up physical resonances and correlated traffic peaks. These could be a more dangerous part of cyber-warfare than the viruses and worms of today.

Secondly, we need to think about the human emergence. Occasionally, wonderful new ideas happen as a result of human interactions, and the web creates a superb platform on which to initiate and carry these interactions. But harmful ideas can also emerge. Thirdly, and perhaps most importantly, we need to look hard at the potential of the net to act as a platform for machine-initiated threats, such as machine consciousness."

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